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A Fair Die Is Rolled N Times. What Is The Probability That At Least 1 Of The 6 Values Never Appears?

Answer : I think via inclusion/exclusion the probability that at least one of the six values never appears after n rolls of the die would be: p ( n ) = ( 6 1 ) ( 5 6 ) n − ( 6 2 ) ( 4 6 ) n + ( 6 3 ) ( 3 6 ) n − ( 6 4 ) ( 2 6 ) n + ( 6 5 ) ( 1 6 ) n p(n) = {6 \choose 1}({5 \over 6})^n - {6 \choose 2}({4 \over 6})^n + {6 \choose 3}({3 \over 6})^n - {6 \choose 4}({2 \over 6})^n + {6 \choose 5}({1 \over 6})^n p ( n ) = ( 1 6 ​ ) ( 6 5 ​ ) n − ( 2 6 ​ ) ( 6 4 ​ ) n + ( 3 6 ​ ) ( 6 3 ​ ) n − ( 4 6 ​ ) ( 6 2 ​ ) n + ( 5 6 ​ ) ( 6 1 ​ ) n To understand, first just consider the probability of a 1 never showing up: ( 5 6 ) n ({5 \over 6})^n ( 6 5 ​ ) n Easy enough. Now what are the chances of either a 1 never showing up OR a 2 never showing up. To first order it's just twice the above, but by simply doubling the above, you've double-counted the events where neither a 1 nor a 2 show up, so you have to subtract that off to correct the double counting: 2 ( 5 6 ) n − ( 4 6 ) ...

A Man Is Known To Speak Truth 3 Out Of 4 Times. He Throws A Die And Reports That It Is A Six. Find The Probability That It Is Actually A Six.

Answer : The difference in solutions comes in the estimation of the probability that the man reports six when six has not occurred. If the man randomly chooses a number to report when he lies (which seems like a reasonable statement), then the probability he chooses 6 is 1/5. If you multiply your calculation of P(E|S2) by this, you get your teacher's solution.